The Clinton Matrix -- Take Two

I cleaned up the Matrix a bit and put in percentages for the superdelegates need if Clinton wins a certain percent of the remaining pledged delegates (x-axis) and a certain percent of the add-on delegates (y-axis).

Keep in mind that the range of possibilities for both the x and y axes for Clinton is severly limited, and according to all projections, she will be close to the 50% mark for the pledged delegates and below the 50% mark for the add-on delegates.

Even if granted a 50% split in both categories, she will need at least 82.5% of the remaining superdelegates to win the nomination.

I will have to recalibrate these matrices soon with the influx of new superdelegates announcing today.

I remarked earlier that Clinton has to win roughly four new superdelegates for each one that Obama produces.

So when Obama produces five in the past two days, Clinton needs 24 of her own to keep on pace to win the nomination. She produced four, so in theory Obama put Clinton another 20 superdelegates in the hole on her path to the nomination.

Matching Obama superdelegate for superdelegate at this stage of the race is just running out the clock while behind in the game.