Tuesday, June 3, 2008

CLINTON MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED

Senator Clinton will gain no more than 17 delegates from tonight's contests in Montana and South Dakota, even if she exceeds expectations.

These 17 pledged delegates added to her total of 1918 will give her 1925 total delegates.

With only 140 unpledged superdelegates remaining, 35 add-on delegates and 1.5 Edwards delegates, there are only 176.5 available delegates for Senator Clinton to gain in some magical 100% sweep of all these delegates.

That gain would still leave her at 2101.5, short 16.5 delegates of the 2118 threshold.

Even if Clinton were to receive the other 14 pledged delegates in the South Dakota/Montana contests, which would require beating Obama with 86% of more of the vote in every district, she would still fall 2.5 delegates short.

That, my friends, is the definition of mathematically eliminated.

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