Thursday, May 15, 2008

Obama, Clinton Will Make Gains with Add-On Delegates this Weekend

Eight add-on delegates are schedule to be named this weekend (May 17-18) and Senator Obama should pick up four and could pick up five of them.

On Saturday, Colorado, Kansas and Nevada will select their lone add-on delegate, while California will announce its five add-on delegates on Sunday.

As Demconwatch notes here, Colorado's add-on delegate will be Federico Pena, who is open about his support for Senator Obama. The Denver Post noted that Pena's competitor for the position, Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper, decided to withdraw his name from the ballot for the add-on position. Obama won the state handily and it was likely that his large majority of supporters would have voted for Pena regardless of the DNC's host city having its uncommitted Mayor on the ballot.

Kansas went heavily for Obama as well, but there is no news about the likelihood of the add-on declaring for either candidate.

Nevada will be an interesting test as Clinton won the popular vote of the caucuses there but Obama won the most delegates. No word on how this one will turn out.

California is assured of giving Obama two add-ons and Clinton three add-ons, as declared by California State Chair Art Torres in this article. As noted, "Torres has come up with a diplomatic way to select his five delegates. He said he plans to award them in proportion to the vote in California's Democratic primary. Clinton received about 52 percent of the vote, so she gets three; Obama got 43 percent of the vote, so he gets two."

Obama is assured of three add-on delegates from Colorado and California, and is likely to win the Kansas add-on as a result of his blowout 74% - 26% victory on Super Tuesday. Clinton is assured of three add-on delegates and may be favored in Nevada.

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