Friday, May 9, 2008

Clinton Superdelegate Total Adjusted +3

Since we're using NBC News as our source for superdelegate decisions, and because confirming every superdelegate accurately is not always accomplished by each news source in the same manner, sometimes adjustments are necessary.

Last time NBC News made the mistake of giving Democrats Abroad superdelegates a full vote, instead of the half-vote they are awarded.

This time, upon conferring with the Clinton campaign, NBC News is reporting that they undercounted the Clinton superdelegate total by three.

Normally this type of movement would not raise eyebrows, but one has to wonder if the timing of this announcement, on a day when Clinton saw Obama gain 7 new superdelegates and her campaign net zero (+1, -1), that this reconciliation of superdelegate totals was pushed to blunt the advantage Obama had received today.

You have to think the Clinton campaign's delegate counters would be aware of a major news source's superdelegate numbers not being 100% accurate to their detriment. The only thing equal to rolling out three new superdelegates is to adjust your count by three to achieve the same effect, in essence.

This is not good or bad, just an interesting point about the timing of this correction.

I don't agree with the NBC News assertion that the superdelegate yield since Indiana/North Carolina should then be altered to read: Obama 13, Clinton 4. This gives a false sense of "momentum" that Clinton did not earn. The real count is 13-1 since North Carolina, with Clinton's lead in superdelegates being three greater at that time.

The NBC NEWS delegate counts:
PLEDGED: Obama 1,590, Clinton 1,426
SUPERS: Clinton 276.5, Obama 269
TOTAL: Obama 1,859, Clinton 1,702.5.

Obama leads by 156.5 total delegates.

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