This is the latest version of the Clinton Matrix. Even if Clinton manages to capture 60% of all remaining pledged and add-on delegates, she will need over 96% of all remaining automatic delegates (non-add-on superdelegates) to choose her.
Senator Clinton should keep pace above the 60+% share of delegates needed to stay alive after tomorrow's contest in West Virginia. However, of concern is that West Virginia only has three congressional districts, with each having 6 delegates. The other 10 delegates to be won are based on the statewide vote. This lack of odd-delegate districts may work to neutralize the delegate proportion of her victory tomorrow.
On a further note, I cleaned up the formulas a bit in the spreadsheet so that the numbers are a bit more accurate. This version is entirely accurate in terms of percent of automatic delegates needed for a Clinton victory pending her results in the pledged and add-on delegate categories.
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